Daily Kos

Website: http://www.debatescoop.org/
Email: smithr at wfu dot edu

Founder, Open Source Debate Foundation, and Debate Coach, Wake Forest University: http://groups.wfu.edu/debate/ Copyright for my diaries at this site.

Embarrassing website tonight (no she didn't)

Tue May 20, 2008 at 08:05:48 PM PDT

Which site? This one.

She said unequivocably [sic] that she would take this to the convention for a floor fight.

No. Hardly "unequivocably" [sic].

In fact, no such words at all.

The diary was originally ridden to the rec list without any proof at all. Then it was "updated" with "evidence" that does not lead to the conclusion.

Commenters caught up to the facts, mostly well down-thread.

But inertia insures the damage is done unless people go back and un-rec.

I have supported Obama since 2006. He just gave a great speech. One that gives proper recognition to Hillary Clinton.

Once upon a time, "reality based community" was a slogan and a point of pride in this portion of the blogosphere.

Let's restore that.

Update [2008-5-21 0:52:37 by demondeac]: Without making any note of it, the diarist has changed the sentence I quoted. It no reads, still inaccurately:

She clearly and unambiguously stated that this battle is going to the convention. (emphasis added)

Vote for Edwards to Nominate Hillary

Mon Dec 31, 2007 at 11:43:22 AM PDT

Over at OpenLeft Chris Bowers has posted the latest in his "Nomination at a Glance" series.

This is the money part:

I will say, however, that I think the Edwards rise in Iowa has slightly improved his chances to win the nomination, but also improved Clinton’s chances to win the nomination. Right now, I say that based on the likelihood of the scenarios I presented above, Clinton has a 60% chance to be the nominee, Obama a 30% chance, and Edwards a 10% chance.

If anything, Bowers may have understated the effect of an Edwards Iowa win and the odds of a Clinton nomination.

Liveblog and preview of tonight's debate

Thu Jun 28, 2007 at 05:57:32 PM PDT

Use the comments for the liveblog.

Below the fold is a quick preview.

Fireworks Expected at GOP Debate Tonight

Tue Jun 05, 2007 at 02:01:09 PM PDT

You should enjoy it as ten Republican presidential candidates take the same stage at Saint Anselm College occupied by the eight Democratic contenders two nights ago. The hosts, CNN, The Union Leader, and WMUR remain the same, as will the moderator, Wolf Blitzer and the time (7-9 pm on CNN).

But the similarities should end there. The Republicans are much more divided this cycle on core issues of interest to their base than are the Democrats. Immigration is the paradigm case. The race is nowhere near as settled -- the Dems have a clear top tier and a lone front runner while much of the biggest news will be about a Republican candidate, Fred Thompson, who is not even in the debate, and while polls are all over the place with regard to Thompson, Giuliani, Romney, and McCain. Read more about what to expect from tonight's debate. . . .

updated to add time and cable channel.

Poll

Who do want to see hurt the most tonight?

43%45 votes
9%10 votes
20%21 votes
26%28 votes

| 104 votes | Vote | Results

Contest: Predict Tonight's Debate Questions

Thu Apr 26, 2007 at 02:56:07 PM PDT

Get inside the head of Brian Williams and of the candidates. Williams selects the questions (even if a token few come from the average citizen via the internet), and the campaigns have been practicing answering the questions they anticipate.

There will only be 10 or so questions. Score more than 8 and you are above average. 7 is a minimum. 6 or fewer and you fail. Read more to see my predictions and use the comments to submit your top ten list . . .

Clark and Gore supporters: reality check 1 with poll

Sat Jan 13, 2007 at 06:32:38 AM PDT

We in the blogosphere pride ourselves on being "reality based."

Let's explore and measure that "reality" on the flip and in the poll . . . .

Poll

Clark and Gore supporters: choose the item that best describes your position

1%4 votes
4%13 votes
0%2 votes
35%104 votes
2%7 votes
18%54 votes
1%3 votes
1%3 votes
1%4 votes
1%4 votes
20%58 votes
1%5 votes
8%24 votes
1%4 votes

| 289 votes | Vote | Results

Liveblog of Cardin/Steele on MTP

Sun Oct 29, 2006 at 06:03:31 AM PDT

We have the last of our "major" coverage of this series at DebateScoop today with a liveblog and preview.

Tomorrow we'll have an expert analysis.

In between, roundup of media and blog coverage.

Bill Benoit has an excellent primer on how Russert's format elicits a categoriacll different kinds of rhetoric from candidates than traditional formats.

DebateScoop covers Brown-Dewine debate -- join us

Sun Oct 01, 2006 at 05:54:00 AM PDT

Join us at the "Grand Opening" of DebateScoop, a project inspired, in part, by Yearly Kos and Daily Kos.

We'll be liveblogging this morning's MTP debate (more than once for different TV schedule audiences.)

We'll also have spin threads, expert judgements, and more. Your diaries are welcome, too.

We have a scoop platform, like this one (so you should be comfortable lofgging in and commenting), plus commentary led by the nation's leading experts in political debate

Pick Your Poison

Fri Aug 04, 2006 at 02:18:22 PM PDT

This maddening interview with Condoleeza Rice moved me to share here what was first made clear to me by a colleague last January. I forget who it was that he heard it from, but it was an international relations scholar.

The basic idea, however, doesn't take a doctorate (how the hell did Rice ever earn one?) to understand. The basic idea is simple and puts everything about Iraq, Lebanon, Iran, and the Middle East into perspective.

Join me below the fold for clarity of perspective on the Mess-o-potamia and to use the poll to pick your poison.

Poll

If Iraq can only be one of the following, which should the U.S. pursue?

85%12 votes
7%1 votes
7%1 votes

| 14 votes | Vote | Results

Ben Franklin Blogging on the 4th!

Tue Jul 04, 2006 at 05:58:57 AM PDT

What better way to celebrate the 4th of July in the blogosphere than by extending the legacy of Benjamin Franklin, our founding blogger, and great ambassador?

Students from Albania to Turkmenistan, from Sweden to Malta, from Iowa and Ben's own Pennsylvania are doing just that as part of the Benjamin Franklin Transatlantic Fellows Initiative.

Please join them and me below the fold in action that is both diplomacy and blogging.

Party Takeover Underway

Mon Feb 13, 2006 at 06:08:11 AM PDT

Below is a tale, its ending unwritten, of a Gate Crasher's tentative but persistent first steps toward real political power.

It's motivated by the belief that it is time to stop typing about how bad the Dems are and to do something about it -- to put my life where my sig line is and be the Democrat I want to see.

In the past months I have moved from political voyeur, reading blogs and being horrified by our nation's decline, to (small) money donor, and now to foot soldier in the battle.

But there's the hitch. The party is so dysfunctional that I'm having trouble even enlisting! Read more to hear what getting boots on the ground really takes and why my difficulty may be as inspiring as it is frustrating.

Updated to say: thanks to the commenters, the inspiration far outweighs the frustration. The comments include a collection of great tools for improving and taking over your local party.
Poll

What's your experience?

36%506 votes
11%158 votes
22%306 votes
13%188 votes
10%142 votes
5%69 votes

| 1369 votes | Vote | Results

Biden: Worst. Questioner. Ever.

Tue Jan 10, 2006 at 09:29:47 PM PDT

Yesterday each Senator had ten minutes to speechify on their views regarding Alito's confirmation.

Today, Senators get 30 minutes each in round one of questioning. Thirty minutes to budget. Thirty minutes to spend on an historic, momentous issue: the confirmation of a justice to the Supreme Court of the United States, a court in whose hands our liberties lie in a time of unprecedented assertions of executive power.

So what care does Biden take with our freedom and democracy? He fritters away his time and our liberties while clowning around.

In the Roberts hearing Biden flitted about for 9 minutes before landing on his first question.

I thought he could not do worse. See how wrong I was on the flip.

Poll

How many questions did Biden ask in 30 minutes?

5%3 votes
5%3 votes
60%35 votes
29%17 votes

| 58 votes | Vote | Results

Atrios Challenge Winner: Me

Sun Jan 08, 2006 at 08:39:13 AM PDT

Atrios has had the contest going for a week or so and says he is "still waiting":

No one has yet managed to explain how revealing that the administration illegally spies on American citizens without obtaining warrants, instead of legally spying on people after obtaining such warrants, damages national security.

The wait is over. I win

The explanation was in plain view the whole time, but requires use of the right lens. Put on your national security eyeglasses on the flip, where I prove that revelation of the mere fact of the illegality does damage national security.

Liveblog Open Thread: C-SPAN on Abramoff

Tue Jan 03, 2006 at 05:13:17 PM PDT

Tonight and tomorrow night at 8pm EST is the C-SPAN Abramoff series.

This week C-SPAN is airing a two-part LIVE call-in program on the Jack Abramoff tribal lobbying investigation story. Tonight: money flow from Abramoff clients to his personal projects.

The Kos line 202-737-0002 (Dems)

It's a little slow getting going, now showing the Justice presser, so a bit of Olbermann may be worth surfing in the next few minutes.

But it would be fun to watch and talk when we get our calls in, especially since we can push the "it isn't bipartisan" meme.

Join me?

"Too Many Cindy Sheehans"

Sun Dec 11, 2005 at 07:38:53 PM PDT

The first Presidential visit to Kernersville since George Washington's was much anticipated by the locals and was also met by all of 25 or so protestors along the cold and rainy route between the airport and the local factory where Bush was to tout his economic policies.

It was the prospect of protest that cemented a local mother's decision to show up and bring her "three sons, niece, nephew and mother" with her despite the weather. When interviewed by the local reporter she explained, "Because of the media reports, I was afraid there would be lots of people protesting. I wanted to make sure he knows we love and support him. There are too many Cindy Sheehans in the world."

I understand if you are rereading that last sentence. Take your time. I, too, was stunned, angered, saddened, dismayed.

But hers was not the last word.

The rest of the story is, for me, redeeming. My letter to the editor was published, and I was enlightened in ways I hope you will find worth considering and discussing.

Updated at the end -- corresponence with the letters editor

Gift of the MAGI

Wed Dec 07, 2005 at 10:35:21 AM PDT

Thanks, MAGI (Mad and Grumpy Idiots). Thanks, wingnuts for defending Christmas against the imaginary attacks on it.

Today I got my morning cup of coffee in the cafeteria and put the sleeve on it. Still half asleep, it took me a second to notice that the sleeve was a different color. Decorative, in fact. Red background with white snowflakes and stars. So what was my very next thought? Yep, "Holidays" or "Christmas?"

I smiled when I saw, "Holiday Greetings." I smiled at the idea that I was even thinking about the topic. I smiled at the futility of the attack on the attack on Christmas. And, as everyone knows, the least little rib tickle is often enough to get one's day headed in the right direction.

It did, and it was. Though I did not yet know that I was headed towards writing this, my second diary.

NSC "Victory" document author is a pollster!

Sat Dec 03, 2005 at 09:15:44 PM PDT

It turns out that the National Security Council's, "Our National Strategy for Victory in Iraq," 35 page document touted by Scott McClellan as, according to today's NYT, an unclassified, publicly accessible explanation of strategies that the administration has been pursuing in Iraq since 2003," actually originated at the computer of "Peter D. Feaver, a Duke University political scientist who joined the N.S.C. staff as a special adviser in June and has closely studied public opinion on the war."

Read the article then help me in comments by finding every instance of W's, "I don't read the polls," lies.

This is my first diary, so bear with me on the flip.

Updated to note that Digby predicted this approach the day before the Bush speech.


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